Product Description

Updated with a New Afterword, Including Information on the Warmest Winter of The Century

Is something going on with the weather?
A record-setting heat wave that just won't release its blistering grip...balmy winter weeks followed by a sudden crippling snowstorm...torrential rainfalls deluging areas untouched by flood for decades....And coast-to-coast, an endless parade of dramatically televised weather disasters--each seemingly more extreme than the last. Examining today's headline-making questions through the authoritative lens of science and history, New York Times science reporter William K. Stevens offers this definitive look at the science of climatic change. He introduces us to the international community of scientists whose newfound consensus--the earth is indeed getting warmer, and human activity is at least partially at fault--remains a topic of fierce debate.

How did we get here? How much worse will it get? How dramatically will it change life as we know it, and how quickly? The answers and their implications could not be more profound. And Stevens helps us understand both the science and politics we'll need to know in the coming years, offering an informed speculative glimpse at what may be in store for the end of our new century. An armchair scientist's guide to the science of climate--past, present, and future--The Change in the Weather is an eye-opening and authoritative exploration of today's world and tomorrow's uncertainty.

Product Details

• Amazon Sales Rank: #1324043 in Books
• Published on: 2001-03-06
• Released on: 2001-03-06
• Original language: English
• Number of items: 1
• Binding: Paperback
• 384 pages

Amazon.com Review
In the summer of 1995, Chicagoans endured weather of extremes they had never seen: daytime temperatures that, adjusted for humidity, exceeded 125 degrees Fahrenheit and nighttime temperatures that did not fall below 90. In four days, 583 people died of heat exhaustion and related causes. It was by far Chicago's greatest mass disaster, and one for which the city was utterly unprepared.

William Stevens, a science reporter for The New York Times, opens his vivid--and sometimes frightening--book The Change in the Weather with a look at the Chicago disaster, moving on to consider it and other calamities in the context of millions of years of climatic change. In the last several decades, violent storms, long considered to be aberrations of nature, have come to seem almost the norm. The jury is still out, but much evidence suggests that the so-called greenhouse effect is fueling these ever-more-powerful storms. With global warming come hotter average temperatures; hotter temperatures mean increased water vapor, the stuff from which storms are made; more storms mean more flooding; more flooding means more soil erosion and the destruction of the world's estuaries and coastlines; and so on. Stevens carefully describes some of the scientific debates on global warming and ever-nastier weather, and on what, if anything, might be done to reverse or slow these apparent trends.

Lacing his narrative with interviews with leading climatologists, Stevens offers an engrossing scientific detective story--one that threatens to become a horror story in the very near future. --Gregory McNamee

From Publishers Weekly
Over the past decade, a scientific consensus has emerged that global warming is real and is largely the consequence of human activity--specifically, the burning of fossil fuels for energy, transportation and industrial activity. As such, global warming may be the most important political issue and technological challenge of the next two centuries--or so intimates New York Times science reporter Stevens (Miracle Under the Oaks) in this balanced, authoritative and accessible volume. Stevens makes clear, however, that quantifying the impact of global warming will be difficult, which makes developing and implementing necessary international solutions--already challenging because of the conflicting interests of different countries--an intractable problem. The author skillfully describes the complex science of climate: the ever-changing patterns of global flows of air, water and energy. The world already faces extremes of temperature and precipitation. Yet the floods, droughts, heat waves, blizzards and other exceptional weather of the past decade may be just the beginning. Stevens predicts that rising sea levels caused by melting polar ice caps, coupled with increasingly intense storm surges, may threaten coastal cities and island nations around the world. Agricultural patterns and regional ecology may change dramatically. Prevailing winds, weather cycles and ocean currents may shift. Humanity, that most adaptable of species, will be challenged to keep up. Mainstream and contrarian scientists may make different predictions and propose different policies, but few would dispute Stevens's ominous closing sentence: "The experiment is running, and time will tell." (Jan.)
Copyright 1999 Reed Business Information, Inc.

From Library Journal
Stevens, who writes for the weekly science section of the New York Times, presents a well-researched report of climatology. In a story-like fashion, similar in style to his first book Miracle Under the Oaks: The Revival of Nature in America, Stevens chronicles the spectrum of controversy surrounding the ongoing "global warming" debate: natural weather variation vs. human impact. Though the author suggests that signs of a warmer world are evident and the consequences of more extreme weather events lie ahead, the book is a nice acquisition to a library's collection because it adds the perspectives of those contrary to his reasoning. The detailed interviews of international scientists and historians also supplement this resource. Recommended for science libraries as well as for weather enthusiasts.
-Trisha Stevenson, New York University Sch. of Medicine Lib.
Copyright 2000 Reed Business Information, Inc.

Customer Reviews

A Good Survey
The Change in the Weather was pretty much the book I was looking for. With evidence building about past global climate based upon ice core samples, pollen studies to determine changing fauna over time, soil stratification and so on, I was interested in a survey that described earth's history of climate change. It may be too soon to have a complete picture, I learned, but a great deal is offered here, along with climatic effects on humankind and vice versa. The book has a lot to recommend it as an introduction to a current and important topic.

I enjoyed the early sections of the book which present a synopsis of the formation of the earth, early life forms and, ultimately, climate's influence on human development, agriculture, civilization, and modern society. Even if you are familiar with more detailed analysis of these events, as I am, the journey was nice. Along the way, you get a good feel for dramatic historical changes due to climate (and a sense of what could lie ahead).

There is a history of the study of meteorology that was new to me that put into perspective how the science of weather evolved. The science here is not detailed, but it is a good survey. We see a bit on the state of computerized weather modeling today as well. Then we get into today's issues on global warming, greenhouse gasses and the possible effects. This is good stuff and the major weather events described from the last decade or two bring back instant recognition and recall, pointing out, I think, how aware of and affected by these events we really are. An interesting point is that global warming could result in higher over night temperatures and higher lows rather than high temperatures. The book ends describing the attempts by world governments to come together to determine responsible actions (a sorry likelihood).

Another strength is Stevens's fairly unbiased approach to the later topics of global warming, carbon dioxide emissions, fossil fuels, and so on, which can generate powerful emotions and heated argument. If you are looking for hard science, atmospheric mathematics formulas, and fluid mechanics, this isn't the place. But if you are interested in today's weather on a broader scope, this is very good. While I was reading the book, here in Milwaukee we had back to back days with record high temperatures, and, for the first time recorded, a tornado touched down in Wisconsin in March--right out of the book!

Are We Causing Global Warming?
I read this book because I wanted a better understanding of the whole global climate change debate. On the plus side, the author does a good job of explaining the difficulty in determining if the climate is changing. He convinced me that global warming is occurring. The weight of the evidence appears to be overwhelming in this regard, although it's not clear if it's just short term variation or the beginning of a long-run trend. The author discusses how a scientific model shows a human cause for warming, but I'm not entirely convinced. But the models seem to be improving rapidly, and it may not be long before the evidence is overwhelming. My biggest complaint is that the author did not place human influences into context. For example, how does the release of CO2 from burning fossil fuels compare to natural releases such as forest fires? How does deforestation affect global warming? If the planet is warming, doesn't that imply more plants, including plankton, which convert CO2 into oxygen, thus offsetting the impact? The author mentions that quantification of the carbon cycle is not well understood, but an understanding of it is critical to understand global warming. The author suggests that consequences of inaction could be severe, but he uses mostly anecdotal information and speculation because scientific information is lacking. Quite frankly, I'm not convinced that action is necessary. Science does not seem far enough along to warrant changing behavior to fend off problems that may never occur. And if the models are right and global warming will cause serious consequences I expect them to occur gradually. I have faith that future generations will be in a much better position to deal with these problems than we are today.

Good Review of Meteorology History; Climatology
The Change in the Weather is actually a very, very, good book on the history of meteorology and climatology, and how it has been used to detect and predict global warming.

The main reason the book does not receive 5 stars is because it is now dated - written in 1999; and I'm reviewing it 10 years later - much has happened to forward the certainty of global warming knowledge and effects since then. For example, the author mentions that killer heat waves might happen more frequently, which is fairly prescient, as this was four years before the killer heat wave of Europe occurred. He also mentions that in a warming world, the intensity of weather in general would increase, which would lead to more drought; and also somewhat counter-intuitively, more intense rainfall events as well. Hurricanes would become stronger. He was right about all of this.

The best part of the book was reading about how a group of Norwegians completely updated the science of meteorology in the 1920s, and how it has become more and more precise with the aid of supercomputers.

A good general book to read about climate change, but unfortunately, just a little out of date.