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Economic Turbulence: Is a Volatile Economy Good for America?

Economic Turbulence: Is a Volatile Economy Good for America?
By Clair Brown, John Haltiwanger, Julia Lane

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Every day, in every sector of our economy, a business shuts down while another starts up, jobs are created while others are cut, and workers are hired while others are laid off. This constant flux, or turbulence, is a defining characteristic of our free market system, yet it mostly inspires angst about unemployment, loss of earnings, and the overall competitiveness of corporations. But is this endless cycle of fluctuation really so bad for America? Might something positive be going on in the economy as a result of it?

In this penetrating work, three esteemed economists seek to answer these questions by exploring the real impact of volatility on American workers and businesses alike. According to the authors, while any number of events--shifts in consumer demand, changes in technology, mergers and acquisitions, or increased competition--can contribute to economic turbulence, our economy as a whole is, by and large, stronger for it, because these processes of creation and destruction make it more flexible and adaptable. The authors also acknowledge and document the adverse consequences of this turbulence on different groups of workers and firms and discuss the resulting policy challenges. Basing their argument on an up-close look into the dealings and practices of five key industries—financial services, retail food services, trucking, semiconductors, and software—the authors demonstrate the positive effects of turbulence on career paths, employee earnings, and firm performance.

The first substantial attempt to disentangle and make clear the complexities of this phenomenon in the United States, Economic Turbulence will be viewed as a major achievement and the centerpiece of any discussion on the subject for years to come.

(20060616)


Product Details

  • Amazon Sales Rank: #1199513 in Books
  • Published on: 2006-10-02
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 212 pages

Editorial Reviews

Review
"One of the central issues facing the American economy is the creative destruction of jobs. The authors of Economic Turbulence do a wonderful job of looking at the real data and demonstrating that there are in fact both winners and losers in our economy. Much of the outcome depends on the flexibility of the companies that employ our workers. The authors are to be commended for tackling this profoundly complex issue and providing readers with clear and thoughtful analysis."-William W. Lewis, founding director of the McKinsey Global Institute and author of The Power of Productivity (William W. Lewis 20060616)

"This book presents important new insights into the dynamics of the American labor market. It documents the consequences of the birth and death of firms on the wages and careers of workers. It examines the effectiveness of alternative personnel strategies by firms and search strategies by workers. A must-read for anyone interested in how the labor market actually works as opposed to popular but misleading journalistic depictions."-James J. Heckman, Winner of the 2000 Nobel Prize in Economics (James J. Heckman )

"A reasoned and comprehensive deconstruciton of the complexities of economic turbulence." (Mitch Renkow Journal of Regional Science )

"Economic Turbulence improves our understanding of the complexities of turbulence, the defining characteristic of the modern American economy. Providing evidence based on new data sources and interviews, it offers valuable insights into the impact of turbulence on firms' performance and survival rates, and workers' job ladders, career paths, and wages. The study's data confirm that the obvious is often wrong. Turbulence, the authors show, has different effects on various groups of workers and industries. This is an essential book for all decision makers and policy makers operating within our volatile economy."-Ray Marshall, former U.S. Secretary of Labor (Ray Marshall )

From the Inside Flap

Every day, in every sector of our economy, a business shuts down while another starts up, jobs are created while others are cut, and workers are hired while others are laid off. This constant flux, or turbulence, is a defining characteristic of our free market system, yet it mostly inspires angst about unemployment, loss of earnings, and the overall competitiveness of corporations. But is this endless cycle of fluctuation really so bad for America? Might something positive be going on in the economy as a result of it?

            In this penetrating work, three esteemed economists seek to answer these questions by exploring the real impact of volatility on American workers and businesses alike. According to the authors, while any number of events—shifts in consumer demand, changes in technology, mergers and acquisitions, or increased competition—can contribute to economic turbulence, our economy as a whole is, by and large, stronger for it, because these processes of creation and destruction make it more flexible and adaptable. The authors also acknowledge and document the adverse consequences of this turbulence on different groups of workers and firms and discuss the resulting policy challenges. Basing their argument on an up-close look into the dealings and practices of five key industries—financial services, retail food services, trucking, semiconductors, and software—the authors demonstrate the resiliency of most workers and firms by turning turbulence into new opportunities.

            The first substantial attempt to disentangle and make clear the complexities of this phenomenon in the United States, Economic Turbulence will be viewed as a major achievement and the centerpiece of any discussion on the subject for years to come.

About the Author

Clair Brown is professor of economics and director of the Center for Work, Technology, and Society at the University of California, Berkeley. She is the author of American Standards of Living, 1918–1988 and a coauthor of Work and Pay in the United States and Japan. John Haltiwanger is professor of economics at the University of Maryland. He is a coauthor of Job Creation and Destruction and a coeditor of several volumes, including, most recently, Measuring Capital in the New Economy. Julia Lane is senior vice president and director of the Economics, Labor, and Population Department at the National Opinion Research Center at the University of Chicago. She is a coauthor of Moving Up or Moving On and a coeditor of Confidentiality, Disclosure, and Data Access.

 


Customer Reviews

Journalists and Jobs: A Peek Under the Surface5
Because the popular press focuses almost exclusively on net job creation or loss, they fail to paint a meaningful picture of how the U.S. economy really works underneath the surface. For every new job that journalists report in the economic section of your local newspaper, it typically means that 5 jobs were created and 4 were lost. And yet, churn of this sort is the sign of a healthy, vibrant economy. Thus, the effort to try to preserve jobs only leads to stagnation. Greater job loss will occur over the long run as competitors (both foreign and domestic) gain advantage precisely because they can both create and destroy jobs in response to market conditions. The authors of Economic Turbulence should be applauded for telling this story that too many people still don't want to hear.